https://inosmi.ru/politic/20190321/244789443.html?utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fzen.yandex.com
Действия НАТО на Украине будут осложнены низким мостом, который открыла Россия, соединяющим Крым с материковой частью России. Это затрудняет перемещение более крупных судов между черноморскими портами Украины и Средиземным морем.
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1. Russian capabilities Delegates had to assess Russian defensive capabilities using real-life data. They concluded that while Russia looks strong on a country-by-country comparison, its armed forces remain stretched and are sometimes poorly equipped. Russia would probably not be able to sustain a war with NATO troops over several months, and would likely be challenged by fighting on two fronts. Having said that, the country’s forces have recently modernised, making them more effective than a few years ago. Russia is also closer than most NATO powers to Ukraine and the Baltics, so could mobilise more quickly and potentially gain strategic advantages. NATO action in Ukraine would be complicated by a low bridge that Russia has opened connecting Crimea to the Russian mainland. This makes it difficult for larger ships to move between Ukraine’s Black Sea ports and the Mediterranean. Russian expertise in cyber attacks and creating confusion by spreading fake news could also create disunity among NATO members. Takeaway: the Russian bear is frail but can still bite.
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